Friday, July 16, 2010

Estimates

Hello all.

Apologise for the late appearance. I'm typing this out from a friend's office, as we have a major internet outage at ours.

The value areas for today are 5399-5385-5378.

The market still is in neutral mode or "hold".

Yesterday's levels of 5411-5355 are still valid as the market makes up it's mind.

Trade accordingly.

I will post updates once I'm back in my office.


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31 comments:

sara said...

Good morning Shai...
Thanks for your care with us..

veer said...

Dear Shai,

The Value areas are for to-day 5386-5383-5378. Pls check the VAH you have given. Is it correct?

Regards,

Veer

Unknown said...

GM Shai,Viren & All of you Friends....
Ur friday mate...Thanks Shai..for ur dedication..Hats Off to you.
Enjoyed fierce fall in BPCL--LAST FRIDAY 705-->T1=665 achieved.

Unknown said...

GM Shai.

I figured there may have been a problem and was patiently waiting for an update.

This blog has grown on me and I feel incomplete in my trading without your inputs.

Thank you again for all that you do.

Unknown said...

Hi,

I quit my position of BPCL in loss two days ago. hard luck :) any ways it was a nice analysis!

r m said...

Good Morning Shai!

Girish Desai said...

GM Shai!

From OI land - there's not much to talk abt.

5400CE/5400PE - OI almost flat
5300CE - 1.5L calls covered
5300PE - 1.5L puts added
5200PE - almost 2L puts covered

And the award goes to...
5100PE - 10L puts added

So many puts suddenly added at 5100 - need to watch for 5355.

Unknown said...

No problem Guggu....2 days back it was the last bull trap.Anyways last friday I instructed that SL was on EOD basis as it was a positional call...coz positional call takes little time to take place...Anyways I also just watched happening as I don't trade in F&O.
Regards

Pawan Jangid said...

Dear Veer

devloping Values area for to-day is 5386-5383-5378 is correct. yesterday VAH:5405 POC: 5392 and VAL : 5378

Pawan Jangid said...

At 11.37 values is VAH 5382 POC: 5378 and VAL: 5374

Unknown said...

Guggu...more opportunities will come.Shai & Viren is there to guide us....just follow them at the same time learn from them.I'm also a student of Shai/Viren & Ilango.

Unknown said...

Yes Amirishli, I am with you

veer said...

Thank you Pawan

Regards,

Veer

rochak parekh said...

http://stock2gains.blogspot.com/2010/07/stop-reverse-tulip.html

Hello friends

New post

please visit & review
thanks
regards

Viren said...

GA All.

Viren said...

5371-5399 as the day range, signifies the "hold" which shai talked about this morning.

Another neutral day.

The Other time frame is on the sidelines-waiting and watching.

Girish Desai said...

Viren,

This seems to be no-where market the whole day. At most one could have played for 10 points on either side ...

Someone looking for trend would be lost.

Viren said...

Yes Girish,

Two neutral days in a row, means that there is an explosive move coming up.

If it does not come in the next 50 mins ( highly unlikely) we may have a trend day on Monday.

Viren said...

Two days back I had written that I expected volatility to increase.

The behavior of the market has been anything but volatile.

Generally near market tops, such as the one we are near to in the Nifty, a drop in the volatile nature of the market can only mean that there are new highs up ahead.

It's never quite near the top!.

Pawan Jangid said...

Dear Viren

"Generally near market tops, such as the one we are near to in the Nifty, a drop in the volatile nature of the market can only mean that there are new highs up ahead.

It's never quite near the top!. "

Very Good observation sir.

Viren said...

Pawan,

...But let the market guide us.

As Shai says we have our levels--

The tell will be an auction above 5411.

Buy with both hands above 5411 on Monday.

Girish Desai said...

Viren,

Awesome explanation - I do remember your comment from a week back.

Pawan Jangid said...

"Buy with both hands" Thanks a lot sir for your guidence.

Viren said...

Girish,

Which One?

( the volatility one was 2 days back, I think?)

Viren said...

That seller from 5387 a few days back has moved back to 5402-5408.

He is weak as he has not been able to push prices below 5355.

Once he is taken out ( Or in Shai's words 'Erased') prices above 5411 will scream higher.

Viren said...

See you all.

Have a rocking weekend !!

r m said...

Bye Viren & Shai! Have a great weekend.

Unknown said...

See you all....next week.
EOD finding...but again a short call.
Short EDUCOMP @ opening price on monday morning as after a big move a doji on daily chart.
In Shai's language...there is a seller sitting at 635 spot.
Take small profit at home may be at 605-->592 spot price.SL=640 spot.

Girish Desai said...

Shai,Viren,

1083 on ES was not defended at all! It looked like market was on borrowed time and what better day to fall than Expiry day.

In case you are making a weekend post on Nifty/Banknifty, please post your views on ES too.

There was a blogpost chart where I saw with HUGE volume selling on ES. Her's the link - http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_TwUS3GyHKsQ/TECEB8NZUdI/AAAAAAAAGYo/OBvUTV5dfg4/s1600/2010-07-16-TOS_CHARTS.png

PS: I call our market as sucker market - because we rise when global markets rise but don't fall much when S&P500 sells off. May be this is going to change?

Shai said...

Girish,

Yes it was Odd, our markets making new highs whereas everybody else now here close to 2010 highs.

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Shai said...

New post.


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