Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Estimates for 3rd aug

The markets have opened flat and around the 5435 levels.

Value area rule may come into play today.

5429-5419-5411 are the value areas. Watch to see if market stays above 5429-5435.

The values for the BN are 10343-10292-10240.

Shorts are right only below 10343.

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33 comments:

r m said...

Good Morning Shai, Viren & friends.

Unknown said...

Good Morning Shai & All!

golfdude said...

gm everyone.

short below 5419 ?

INDITRADER said...

Gm Shai,
Nf below 5435,
can shorts be initiated or wait?

Shai said...

Musti,

Aggressive shorts here at 5432 will have 5444 for a Sl or day high.

You can also wait for a break of value high at 5429 and short below 5426 for 5411.

Janak said...

Shai,
thnx for my post y'day - covered short for BOI, taken another short for BN at 10431 :-)

Janak said...

Shai,
market undertone doesn't look bullish at all - people are cautious.....what do u say?

Shai said...

Janak,

Nifty is in no man's land--above value high but below high value node of 5435. The struggle and the dilemma it faces is obvious.

BN is still strong with good leadership rotation.Yesterday it was SBI, today it is ICICI.

The banks are holding the index together.

Shai said...

Buy reliance short term positional at 1022, Sl 1005, tgt 1043/ 1074.

Shai said...

"weeklies" are gaining popularity in the US option markets. These are options which will expire in a week.

The presumption being that most option traders hold an option call for less than a week and basically as a directional play.

How cool is that? NSE are you listening?

golfdude said...

I general, options are very risky. One month is too little to make any serious money unless u know what u r doing or get lucky. Now WEEKLIES. Next everyone is a day trader. Day traders become second traders. Well, HFTs took the leap directly to millisec traders.

golfdude said...

Is anybody here ? Calm before the siesta...

Shai said...

5425-5442 are ref levels.

BN seems to be tiring down.

Shai said...

5424.

Sell for a target of 5411 & 5397.

Sl 5442.

RamSreeram said...

When is vtrender 2 starting ??

Shai said...

RamSreeram,

There are still some glitches in the platform for "live audio".Hope to get it sorted in the next two days.

ramsfm said...

Dear Shai,
I am holding shorts@5431.50.. what would be correct SL at this level.. seems to be NIFTY taking support at DAY LEMA@ 5429..
Thanks,
Ramesh

Shai said...

Ramsfm,

Don't know about DLEMA, but I saw a bounce from POC.

My Sl is 5442 NF.

bizagra said...

Dear Shai, hope we are carrying reliance position for tommorow?
Thanks

Shai said...

Yes Bizagra,

Reliance we are keeping.

Janak said...

Shai, can NF be shorted towards the end?

Shai said...

Exit nifty shorts.

Shai said...

Janak,

The sellers have been kept at bay in the past two sessions.

yesterday, we stayed above value and today bounced off POC.

I do not suggest shorts at this stage.

golfdude said...

Shai,

can you confirm value area for today ? I got this -

VAH= 5443.75
POC= 5439.25
VAL= 5434.75

Looks suspicious.

Thanks

Janak said...

thnx for the opinion Shai.....i was thinking of shorting as US market might just sell of today and we may have a gap down tom. with Asia...

r m said...

Bye Shai & friends!

Janak said...

Dear Shai,
Can you pl. recommend a good broker who can offer good rates? I am from Pondicherry. Just received papers from R K Global - but they don't have an office here so I am little hesitant. At present, using KARVY - EXHORBITANT brokerage....

Unknown said...

janak
Try Angel Broking

Shai said...

Golfdude,

5437-5430-5423.

We never really auctioned above 5443, so your suspicions are right.

Shai said...

Janak,

1110 in the futures will be good supports.Don't think it will break that level today.

1123-1110-1117 are the value areas if you are watching.

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Sunil is right about Angel being a good broker. Try Religare also.If you are day trading then you automatically become a national asset for these guys. :) .
Negotiate hard for 1-1.5 paise intra brokerage.

Unknown said...

Shai,

I've noticed the size of the value area reduce again today.Does it have any meaning?

Shai said...

Rajeev,

Good obs.

It signifies the absence of the other time frame...or a market driven by the day traders today.

Shai said...

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