Saturday, October 15, 2011

Nf Profile check

On Thursday the market attempted to auction lower in the afternoon session after it had met with resistance around 5130 levels and was managing to clear the anomalies mentioned in our blog post that day.

The auction however had lower volumes than the preceding day and was an indication that the market wasn't really ready to break. Don't confuse that with strength however.

We spoke about an acceptance above 5062 as a new bracket, and the lows were in that zone.

As we look at the new week from Monday, let's look at the bigger bracket on the Nifty daily chart.



The above chart is that of the Nifty spot. It clearly shows the market approaching the upper end of the bracket ( in blue).

Trade location will be important at the start of the week. There could be traders pushing the market higher to trigger stops which are likely to be heavy in the two zones pointed out.

There could be new buyers, just as easily as new sellers would be waiting to enter at these levels again.

In the Trading room, following OrderFlow as a basis for taking the calls becomes vitally important. Blue and green to support will signal new buyers and red and pink will speak about sellers wanting to come back.

We also need to keep an eye on the reaction theory playing out within the bracket.


The above chart is a 30 minute reaction chart showing the activity of buyers and sellers.We spoke about reaction theory in our post last on Tuesday in this post
In this market which is trending up we have seen three major reactions, measuring 60 points, 86 points and 75 points respectively.Yesterday's intra day reversal measured 38 points.

From the highest point of the coming week, if we see a bigger reaction than the ones we have noted above, then the pendulum would have truly shifted from the buyer to the seller in the coming week.


7 comments:

mo h said...

Hi Shai,
longtime .. and a big good morning to you and your team of wonderful presenters :)
You have good shoulders around your head in rm and chivukule,
very unique presentations supplementing your very unique trade conceptualization.

hope many cash on it.
take care, bye!!

Shai said...

Hi Moh,

Long Time Indeed .

Hope all is well.

and happy to "see" you again.

Anonymous said...

isn't this making a perfect W going straight to 5700 may be on on diwali?

Girish Desai said...

Thanks for the post Shai. One more point I wanted to add was that I liked ur weekly capture of OF chart. Request you to do that every week if possible.

PS: Moh - where were u man? Hope to see you in the room sometime soon :)

Shai said...

@ Girish,

Will do surely.

mo h said...

Hi Girish, :)
wow, longtime, man ... good to see you here!

i am kind of in the 80% rule in my project work, having started at vaL, having crossed the poC, but yet to reach the vaH
:))

so only off from other stuff,
wearing a blinker and trying to focus on the road ahead alone,while the road seems to become a long ribbon ...
:)

you lucky to be in that trd'room, hei !!
me me envy yu ..
takecare, will catch up with you asap,
bye!!!

mo h said...

Hi Shai,
all is well and as should be,
more projects undertaken,
but it pays well.
so no complaints except missing this good spot and company.

all the best, shai, to you and those lucky guyz in your trd room.
takecare, bye!

[my regards to viren]

mmm ....
i see the "W" guys triggering a long,
@ janak .... hi janak :)