This blog intends to reduce the noise from the markets by the use of Market Profile as well as studying inter-market associations and their relevance to the short-term trend.
a) McClellan- Just last friday we had noted the coil in Mcclellan and called for a big move in stocks. We are up 200 points already and the McClellan is in positive territory at 36 now heading strongly towards the 80 figure
b) the declining volumes have never gone a lot below current levels in the past 4 months. Also the Vix is pointing to a lack of fear in the market. Whilst this is a sign of bullishness, the contrarian would be watching for signs of reversal coming in.As a rule, we never sail in a boat which is getting loaded one side.
In the hourly we have had a trend since last friday, but the daily is still within the balance area marked out over the weekend. For the daily we watch 5623 NF to see if we are coming out of the balance zone and into a trend for another 300 points, maybe.
RM's charts are wonderful money management tools, which show the risk of entering new longs here are not as good as they were some 100-150 points back.That being said, we are playing the trend on existing positions, but watching for "signs of reversal"
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8 comments:
Vix is digging a hole, wonder who'll get buried in that. :D
Thanks, RM.
Vix may set the fuse for a quick rally?
@sunblock
I am extremely poor at interpreting charts. Let us wait for Shai's torch. :)
Thank you RM for the chart
2 observations
a) McClellan- Just last friday we had noted the coil in Mcclellan and called for a big move in stocks. We are up 200 points already and the McClellan is in positive territory at 36 now heading strongly towards the 80 figure
b) the declining volumes have never gone a lot below current levels in the past 4 months. Also the Vix is pointing to a lack of fear in the market. Whilst this is a sign of bullishness, the contrarian would be watching for signs of reversal coming in.As a rule, we never sail in a boat which is getting loaded one side.
"As a rule, we never sail in a boat which is getting loaded one side."
Wonderful phrase
Then,
How else to define a trend ?
alphabet1,
In the hourly we have had a trend since last friday, but the daily is still within the balance area marked out over the weekend. For the daily we watch 5623 NF to see if we are coming out of the balance zone and into a trend for another 300 points, maybe.
RM's charts are wonderful money management tools, which show the risk of entering new longs here are not as good as they were some 100-150 points back.That being said, we are playing the trend on existing positions, but watching for "signs of reversal"
Failed auction at 5546 confirmed. A neutral extreme day with close at upper extreme.
Failed auction at 5546
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B8e3dtbFwQWUZGU5YWZhNmItMzFmMS00Y2Y5LWJjZDAtMWI2Mzk3NjUzZjcx&hl=en_US
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