Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Vix and the Spx-2

My last post here on this subject of the Vix called for a bottom in the Vix and a subsequent top in the index at 1146-1150 levels, levels which we have not seen since.

Let's look at where the Vix is today after that post.Here is a YTD chart of the VIX:



As you can see we are reaching complacency levels and it is the time to be careful in your stock selection.

Another look at the 10 year chart:

Complacency yes...but still not quite there

The McCellan is showing that the index has some more to go on the downside and we are not below my green line again.

So we will be here on the index for some more time...maybe flat to up but no major downside anytime soon.

7 comments:

Viren said...

But the McCellan itself is overbought isn't it?

Shai said...

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$nymo

A reading above 70 will make it overbought. Currently at 46.

Shai said...

Viren,

That's why I said a little more room on the upside to run.

But the NYMO is an extremely good indicator to watch.Infact it gave a positive divergence at 1046 levels.

Baron said...

Sir the vix chart is uptill 1.7.10, cud you please post latest , thanks

Shai said...

Baron,

19.94 is the close as of last night's US session.

Viren said...

Baron,

the second ten year chart is as of yesterday's close.

Baron said...

thanks